diff --git a/scripts/pm/dispatch-gates.mjs b/scripts/pm/dispatch-gates.mjs index 09813b2faa..12ddc49a2e 100644 --- a/scripts/pm/dispatch-gates.mjs +++ b/scripts/pm/dispatch-gates.mjs @@ -2794,6 +2794,35 @@ export function coveringJobFilter(entry, inputPath) { * `scripts/` module (3 live family-module pairs) and a relative target outside * `scripts/` (3, all `eslint.config.mjs`). * + * ## The AGGREGATE line over the same edges, measured and refused too (#13251) + * + * The follow-up to this refusal asked whether ONE summary line per edited + * module ("imported by N discovered families; a change to its exports breaks + * them at load") could carry the information the 232 refused leads carry. + * Measured over the live card population — 1,862 first-parent commits on + * origin/main, 2026-08-16..30, window proven by git-history.mjs, at 71627f7b + * — and refused as well: + * + * - it would have fired on 8.8% of cards, but the case an aggregate exists + * for — the five head utilities whose refused lists motivated it — fired + * on 0.6% (11 cards), and on those no runnable subset exists between the + * derived list and the farm. 231 of the then-241 novel pairs sat in + * UNFILTERED workflows: CI already buys the whole class in one round. + * - 93% of firings land on TAIL modules (fan-in <= 3), where the value is + * the NAMES, and every names-shape is already decided: all names is this + * refused key; names under a threshold — and "top importers: …" capped at + * K is the same thing — is a fan-in cutoff, the volume rule this file has + * no provenance to state; a bare count without names fails "changes a + * decision" exactly where it fires most. 61 of the 164 firings were cards + * on THIS file, whose count line ("imported by 1 discovered family") + * withholds the one name that matters — the bare-root-worklist witness + * the COSTS paragraph above already prices. + * + * The staleness alarms for this refusal are the SAME pins as the key's + * (concentration + witness, re-derived every `--self-test` run). The firing + * rates are history-facts, not tree-facts: re-measure them from the commands + * on #13251, never from this prose. + * * Returns `{ key, via }` — `via` is the provenance label the output prints, so * a lead can never be read as the wrong kind of claim. */